Starting at 16:00, we have the final of the Sofia tournament between Basic – Marius Copil.
Mirza Basic is 129th in the ATP rankings, with a career high of 109rd in 2016. Basic hit the ball with the right hand and backhand with both hands. He thinks service is the “favorite hit”. Also the favorite area is hard. It is the first ATP finals he plays in his career. This year he reached Doha Round 3, winning with Feliciano Lopez and Haider-Maurer in the first two rounds. At this tournament in Sofia, Basic won with Lazov, Brkic, Florian Mayer, Kohlschreiber, Marter and Wawrinka.
Marius Copil has fallen slightly in the rankings, but even so he keeps well on the 93rd position. In 2017, he reached a quarter-finals in Metz (FRA), but also in two challenger finals at Kaohsiung (TAIWAN) and Bratislava (SVK).
It is a player who hits the ball with his right hand and backhand with both hands. The favorite area is hard indoor and the service is considered the “main shot”. The current season has not begun, being eliminated in the inaugural round in Pune (IND) by Djere (SRB), 7-5, 4-6, 5-7. At Australian Open he left the competition in the first round, 5-7, 4-6, 3-6 with Simon (FRA). He played in the Davis Cup before coming to Sofia and this was good for him. He did not give a break in the match won with Haase (NED), score 7-6, 6-4. Also, in dispute with Kavcic (SLO), 6-2, 6-2, saved all 4 opportunities of your opponent. Marius did not give up his service either against Muller (LUX), score 6-4, 6-4, Gilles having only one chance to break. In the semifinals he won with Kovalik (SVK) score 2-0, winning 24/25 balls of first service.
I think we will have a fairly balanced match where both players will try to keep their service. Marius Copil served very well throughout the tournament and did not lose any set. I think Mirza Basic will try to play calmly and get into tiebreak, because is very difficult to win on Marius Copil service. My predictions for Basic – Marius Copil is below.
Predictions: Over 0.5 tiebreaks in match, odds 1.73
Stake: 4 units